Hydrogen – the next great enabler?

Steve at EI Awards 2019

Steve Holliday, President of Energy Institute and former CEO of National Grid

Energy Institute President Steve Holliday FREng FEI sees hydrogen as an essential net zero solution, but it faces two big hurdles…

Upgrading the Climate Change Act last year from an 80% cut in emissions to a net zero target fundamentally changed the debate about our future energy system. It said loud and clear that every single part of our economy has to maximise its decarbonisation potential. There’s very little hiding place – no longer the opt-out of thinking ‘I’ll be in the 20%’.

I was pleased because I’ve long been frustrated at the tribalism often found in our industry and felt the climate challenge is so great that we need to have all the low carbon options on the table.

During my decade as head of National Grid, we saw the first chapter of the UK’s net zero journey – the early decarbonisation of electricity, in particular the incredible gains achieved in renewables. This is of course not yet finished, but electricity is already becoming a central enabler of our low carbon economy – for digitalisation in manufacturing, EVs, electrified rail infrastructure and electric heat in our homes.

But it would be wrong to think we can electrify our way entirely out of the climate emergency, and I’m excited at the level of discussion now under way about the next great enabler of decarbonisation – hydrogen.

Hydrogen is abundant, it’s one of the building blocks of all matter in the universe and it has great potential across heat, industry, and transport. And it finally seems to be pushing at an open door in government and our industry.

There’s hydrogen and there’s hydrogen

Just as with electricity, hydrogen is only as environmentally friendly as the way it is produced. Though near invisible, it comes in a number of ‘colours’, but only two are compatible with our net zero future – blue hydrogen using natural gas with carbon capture utilisation and storage (CCUS), and green hydrogen using renewables with electrolysis.

Apart from the prospect of reaching previously hard-to-decarbonise parts of our economy, low carbon hydrogen could open up industrial opportunity for the UK, with significant export potential. Blue hydrogen plays to our strengths, in particular the engineering skills and expertise currently employed in the oil and gas industry. Similarly, green hydrogen would further capitalise on the massive renewable resource on and around our energy island.

Either way there’s a big challenge in bringing down costs. What’s required is serious government intervention aimed at ensuring the sector has the best possible chance of delivering on its promise. Like the world we were in a decade ago with solar and wind – we needed to kickstart those industries in the UK with incentives. And those incentives worked.

Blue hydrogen will require progress in the demonstration and deployment of CCUS, something that has wider applications too. And we’re going to need to incentivise the scaling up of green hydrogen to make it economic and logical to tie it in with wind and solar.

hyrdogen graphicTaking the public with us

But getting safe, low carbon hydrogen down the cost curve is only halfway there. Where I fear the technology could founder is on the rocks of public opinion.

The Committee on Climate Change estimates that more than half of the emission reductions needed to reach net zero in the UK will come from behavioural or societal change in combination with low carbon technologies.

As with anything unfamiliar, we will all need to feel confident with hydrogen in our day-to-day lives. It will mean change and require a greater level of support to improve the hydrogen literacy of energy users.

Studies have raised concerns that the public’s level of awareness about hydrogen is lagging behind other low carbon technologies and could pose a barrier to its deployment. Research by Madano for the CCC found just over half of survey respondents have never heard of hydrogen fuel boilers, the lowest awareness of all alternative low carbon heat technologies. Research for the H21 project by Leeds Beckett University found more than two thirds of customers are indifferent or undecided about conversion to hydrogen, largely because they don’t know enough about it, are unconvinced that it’s the right solution, or are simply not engaged with the topic.

The Energy Institute’s recent contribution to this endeavour – the new Energy Essentials: Guide to Hydrogen – is therefore important. Aimed at those who are not expert in the field, it supports everyday understanding about hydrogen – the potential benefits, challenges and user experience in the home, for transport and in industry.

It’s hard to imagine a net zero future without hydrogen in some form or other. The technology and ingenuity are certainly there. But I believe the extent and pace of deployment will depend on efforts to make it affordable and to develop the public acceptability. Both have been done with other novel technologies in the past, and I hope we can do so with hydrogen so it can reach its full potential as an enabler of our future net zero way of life.

The Energy Institute’s new Essentials Guide to Hydrogen is at www.energy-inst.org/Hydrogen

This blog post was originally published on Future Net Zero on 4 August 2020.

To deliver Net Zero by 2050, the 2020s really have to be the decade of delivery

Steve Holliday

Steve Holliday, President of Energy Institute and former CEO of National Grid

This year’s Energy Barometer report adds energy professionals to the list of those calling for a green recovery, says Energy Institute President and former National Grid CEO Steve Holliday FREng FEI.

Energy professionals in my experience are a pretty hard-headed bunch. They’re engineers, technicians, scientists and economists, driven by the practicalities of what it takes to keep the electrons and molecules flowing to our homes, businesses and vehicles. I value their methodical, fact-based view of the world because it delivers for us all day-in-day-out, even in these exceptional times.

So when we survey the Energy Institute’s members in the UK every year in our Energy Barometer, about their sector and the world around them, I listen. And this year’s survey, focused on net zero and the impact of COVID-19 could not be better timed.

There’s no doubt the UK has a strong track record as a climate leader. The Climate Change Act was in its day the first of its kind, and upgrading the target to net zero last year in line with the science put us back in the vanguard.

I was privileged to have been at the helm of National Grid during what I now see as the first decade of that net zero journey. And progress getting renewables onto, and coal off, Britain’s electricity grid has been astonishing.

But our survey published this month shows energy professionals are worried. Nine in ten of them believe the UK is currently off track for net zero by 2050; more than half of them say we’re even off track for the target for 2030 without urgent policy action.

More ambitious policies are needed and fast

In this endeavour, numbers matter. Zero is the goal, but emissions are still only down around 40% and the hardest work is yet to be done. Dates matter too. 2050 might sound like a long time away, but the lead times for technology development and deployment are lengthy. If we’re to have a chance of net zero by the middle of the century, the 2020s really have to be the decade of delivery.

Fortunately, the Energy Barometer contains help for ministers looking for solutions. Before anything else, our members prescribe the unfinished business of bringing our nation’s buildings up to scratch. Energy efficiency is singled out as both the biggest missed opportunity of the past decade and the foremost option for plugging the emissions reduction gap for the 2030 target at least cost. Furthermore, in the context of COVID-19, more members urge retrofitting existing housing stock than any other action for a resilient recovery, probably for the same reasons it’s finding favour with ministers. It has nation-wide, job-creating potential, with long term environmental and social benefits.

In fact our members overwhelmingly support calls for ministers to turn the discontinuity caused by the pandemic into the moment we get real about the climate threat and the shape of our future economy. Four in five agree with the Committee on Climate Change (CCC) that stimulus should be channelled into green industries and jobs, and support for emissions-intensive sectors should be contingent on action on climate change.

Bold decisions urgently need taking in heat and transport, to set us on that path to net zero by 2050. Top of the list are funding and incentives to bring on low-carbon aviation fuels, hydrogen HGVs, heat pumps, hydrogen-ready boilers, and demonstration of CCUS in power generation and industrial clusters.

Moral authority

All of this matters for our economic recovery and for delivering on the UK’s legally binding targets, but it also matters for Glasgow and COP26. Without immediate domestic policy steps from ministers, to quote the CCC’s Lord Deben, “the UK’s international credibility is on the line”.

Orchestrating the international ‘Race to Zero’ and the diplomacy required by it over the next year will call for every bit of credibility we can muster. Hence why leading by example at home is singled out by our members more than any other measure as the number one priority for maintaining the UK’s status as a climate leader.

The delay to COP26 bought breathing space but the test is fast approaching when the UK will need to prove its moral authority. The world has entrusted the UK with COP26. Only with ambitious clean energy action at home can we inspire reciprocal action from countries around the world.

The Energy Institute’s Energy Barometer 2020 can be found at www.energyinst.org/barometer/2020

This blog post was originally published on PoliticsHome The House Live on 21 July 2020.

Future fit: how today’s graduates can equip themselves to stay ahead

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Sue-Zhen Yong, Membership Engagement Officer at the Energy Institute

As students around the world graduate, Sue-Zhen Yong reflects on the benefits that membership of the Energy Institute can provide in a period of uncertainty.

With millions of students all over the world donning their virtual graduation caps, there still remains an elephant in the room as we head into what the Bank of England has predicted as the “worst recession in centuries”.

Uncertainty has been percolating around the job market for some time. According to a recent survey conducted by the Institute of Student Employers, a third of the UK’s biggest student employers remain “undecided about their hiring plans”.

The same survey reported 27% are cutting down their graduate hires, and nearly a third will also be reducing internships and placements. Perhaps most tellingly, over two thirds have called off work experience and insight.

Whilst it’s undeniable that students and recent graduates will face a challenging job market, it’s also important to remember that student and graduate recruitment is still happening.

We’ve seen companies finding new, innovative ways to secure the best talent they can in these unprecedented times with the emergence of virtual work insight schemes and internships, a direct response to the pandemic.

Equipping our younger generation with the necessary skills could not be more pertinent in the energy industry, as future industry leaders tackle the world’s most pressing challenges.  Achieving net-zero will require the brightest and best minds – and there is real opportunity for today’s young professionals to be leading this change.

For students and graduates, what is vital in the current job market is to stand out from the crowd. An excellent starting point is being adaptable, open-minded and proactive with your professional development.

If you’re considering a career in the energy sector, joining the Energy Institute as a Student or Associate member can be a straightforward first step into the industry.

So how can EI membership improve your job prospects?

EI membership is a route to provide you with knowledge, resources and insights into everything energy-related, filled with a whole host of benefits and services equipped to support you at every step of your career.

Here are 4 ways you can make the most of your EI membership and get a step up on the competition:

Boost your hiring prospects

The proof is in the pudding – employers are looking for go-getters who are proactive and possess a clear interest in working in the sector.

EI membership is a valuable addition to your CV and can even provide a constructive talking point in interviews.

Many competent, experienced experts in their field hold professional membership with a body such as the EI. Highly regarded across the sector, our Student and Associate membership grades are the early stages of this achievement.

Connect with like-minded energy enthusiasts and grow your network

Every day, our energy community continues to grow, bringing together people across the energy system from all walks of life.

Through EI LIVE, our programme of virtual events, you can interact with energy experts and start to build your own network of industry contacts.

Or tap into the EI‘s global network of branches and Young Professionals Networks (YPNs), all led by passionate volunteer members, helping to connect you to other energy professionals through local events. Never underestimate the power of networking!

Stay up to date with industry developments

What makes energy an exciting sector to work in is its continuously evolving and dynamic landscape, which prospective employers expect you to be clued up on.

Keep up to date by engaging with our Knowledge Service, the EI’s vast hub of energy information encompassing the entire energy spectrum. This includes our e-Library, packed with over 200 eBooks and 2 million articles to help you learn and develop.

As an EI member you can also catch up with the latest headline news through online access to our magazines, Energy World and Petroleum Review.

Future-proof your career

Further down the line in your career, securing a professional qualification is a fantastic way of showcasing your competence and commitment to the sector, whilst elevating your profile amongst your peers in the industry.

Our range of professional membership and registration grades reflect the depth and breadth of the energy sector, whether it’s Chartered Energy Manager, Chartered or Incorporated Engineer, Chartered Environmentalist or Professional membership.

If you’re not quite ready to apply but are keen to work towards professional recognition, you can use mycareerpath, our online professional development tool for members. mycareerpath helps you to plan, record and review your progress towards our professional titles.

So what are you waiting for?

If you’re currently studying at an EI Learning Affiliate institution, Student membership is free. If not, it’s a one-off fee of £27 that will cover you for the duration of your studies.

Recently graduated? Our Associate membership is for you – as we’re half-way through the year, you’ll only be charged half rate for 2020.

Find out more information on our membership grades and sign up here.

References

Institute of Student Employers (2020). Firms cut opportunities for school leavers and graduates press release.

Guardian (2020). Bank of England warns UK faces historic recession; US jobless claims hit 3.1m

The co-benefits of energy efficiency stack up; and they do for other low carbon options too

 

Rob Gross

Dr Rob Gross FEI, Energy Institute Council Member and Director of UKERC

As UK energy professionals today add their voices to those calling for a green recovery, Dr Rob Gross FEI, Energy Institute Council Member and Director of UKERC, attempts to decipher the white smoke emerging from the Treasury.

 

Fears by some that we might have reached ‘peak net zero’, and that we were in for a rerun of post-2008 when climate mitigation fell off the radar in tough times, appear to have been dispelled. At least for now.

That the Treasury has been convinced to invest £3 billion on a key element of what’s needed to set the UK down the track towards its emission reduction goals is welcome, and reflects a concerted case that’s been made by industry and NGOs alike.

It’s one that the Energy Institute’s members right across the UK energy sector – including oil and gas, renewables and the demand side – make again today in the annual Energy Barometer survey report. Energy efficiency is singled out as both the biggest missed opportunity of the past decade and the foremost option for plugging the emissions reduction gap in the next.

Furthermore, in the context of COVID-19, more members urge retrofitting existing housing stock than any other action for a resilient recovery, probably for the same reasons it’s finding favour with ministers.

The economic, environmental and social co-benefits of this have never been clearer. Improved insulation reduces bills and makes buildings more comfortable. It helps meet climate change goals, given today’s homes represent a fifth of emissions, and the vast majority of them will still be around in 2050. It’s a win-win for the resilience and affordability of our wider energy system – reducing the need for relatively costly power and gas supply infrastructure.

And it just happens to be pretty labour intensive and geographically widespread, creating lots of opportunities for skilled manual labour. Industry estimates put it at 40,000 jobs over the next two years, and 150,000 by 2030.

It’s reassuring to hear the Treasury describe the Chancellor’s announcement as a “down payment”. Substantial intervention in decarbonising buildings is long overdue. What’s required is a sustained multi-year programme to establish the market, give supply chains the confidence to invest and consumers the chance to consider what retrofit measures would work best for them and plan them in at a time which suits them. The Better Buildings Neighbourhood Program introduced by President Obama in 2010 had a four year timeframe and did just that. Support also needs to be available for properties of all kinds, whether owner-occupied, social housing or private rented sector.

Wider green stimulus

The pandemic has turned energy on its head. The Energy Barometer reports very few of the EI’s members expect energy demand, passenger journeys, industrial activity and emissions to rebound to beyond pre-pandemic levels; in fact most foresee them remaining subdued for an extended period.

They overwhelmingly support calls for ministers to use the discontinuity as an opportunity to build back better. Four in five agree with the Committee on Climate Change (CCC) that stimulus should be channelled into green industries and jobs, and support for emissions-intensive sectors should be contingent on climate change action.

And for good reason. Nine in ten EI members believe the UK is currently off track for net zero by 2050; more than half of them say we’re even off track for the target for 2030 without urgent policy action.

They prescribe decisions now, not just in energy efficiency, but across heat and transport – to bring on low carbon aviation fuels, hydrogen HGVs, heat pumps, hydrogen ready boilers and carbon capture demonstration to get us on track to deliver. They also note the progress made with renewable electricity generation, thanks to sustained policy, but this needs to keep going too if the UK is to get anywhere near its ambitious climate goals.

Not all of these low carbon endeavours offer the same immediate, shovel-ready co-benefits as household insulation. Some will offer a relatively small number of mainly specialist employment roles in specific regions; others will take years to mature into fully-fledged industries. And there will always be concerns about displacing jobs in incumbent fossil fuel-based parts of the economy.

But the fact is we know we want to transition to a lower-carbon energy system. Net zero is already hard wired into our legislation and there is near consensus across our politics on this.

Ministers need to look at the evidence and pursue most urgently those options that appear promising on multiple fronts; more efficient, lower emission, less expensive, and offering opportunities for economic benefits and well-paid jobs. But they will also be wise to recognise the need for convincing action for one other stand out reason – the UK’s responsibility as host of COP26 in Glasgow next November.

Orchestrating the international ‘Race to Zero’ and the diplomacy required by it over the next year will call for every bit of credibility we can muster. Hence why leading by example at home is singled out by EI members more than any other measure as the priority for maintaining the UK’s status as a climate leader.

The delay to COP26 bought breathing space but the moment is fast approaching when the UK will need to prove its moral authority. As CCC Chair Lord Deben said, “the UK’s international credibility is on the line”.

The Energy Institute’s Energy Barometer 2020 can be found at www.energyinst.org/barometer/2020

This blog post was originally published by BusinessGreen on 9 July 2020

Energy professionals call for green resilient recovery

Louise Kingham OBE FEI, Chief Executive, Energy Institute

Louise Kingham OBE FEI, Chief Executive, Energy Institute

This year’s Energy Barometer survey prescribes rapid change to avert future shocks to the UK economy and build moral authority for COP26, says Energy Institute Chief Executive Louise Kingham OBE FEI

The COVID-19 crisis has wreaked personal tragedy the world over. Many have suffered the loss of loved ones; few have been spared its impacts entirely.

I’m proud to work in a sector that’s playing an indispensable role keeping energy supplies flowing. But it’s also one that’s been turned upside down by the global lockdown, with unprecedented curtailment of economic activity, of all forms of transport, reductions in energy demand, prices and investment. Many of course losing their jobs as a result, in particular in oil and gas.

As we start tentatively to emerge, however, some fundamental questions are being posed about how we should rebuild our economy. Although it’s true greenhouse gas emissions will probably be down this year to the levels of a decade ago, the even bigger risk to our way of life – climate change – is still on the horizon.

So it is timely for the Energy Institute’s annual Energy Barometer to report on what our UK members, in all walks of energy from oil and gas through to renewables and energy efficiency, think about the prospects for getting to net zero emissions by 2050.

There’s no doubt the UK has a strong track record as a climate leader. The Climate Change Act was in its day the first of its kind, and upgrading the target to net zero last year in line with the science put us back in the vanguard. And astonishing progress has been made getting renewables onto, and coal off, Britain’s electricity grid.

But in our survey published this week, energy professionals have raised some serious red flags. Nine in ten believe that the UK is currently off track for net zero by 2050; more than half of them say we’re even off track for the target for 2030 without urgent policy action.

More ambitious policies are needed and fast

In this endeavour, numbers matter. Zero is the goal, but emissions are still only down around 40% and the hardest work is yet to be done. Dates matter too. 2050 might sound like a long time away, but the lead times for technology development and deployment are lengthy.

Fortunately, the Energy Barometer contains help for ministers looking for solutions. Before anything else, our members prescribe bringing our nation’s buildings up to scratch. Energy efficiency is singled out as both the biggest missed opportunity of the past decade and the foremost option for plugging the emissions reduction gap for the 2030 target at least cost. Furthermore, in the context of COVID-19, more of our members urge retrofitting existing housing stock than any other action for a resilient recovery. It has nation-wide, job-creating potential, with long term environmental and social benefits.

In fact EI members overwhelmingly support calls for ministers to use the discontinuity of the pandemic as an opportunity to build back better. Four in five agree with the Committee on Climate Change (CCC) that stimulus should be channelled into green industries and jobs, and support for emissions-intensive sectors should be contingent on action on climate change.

Urgent decisions are prescribed now to bring on low carbon aviation fuels, hydrogen HGVs, heat pumps, hydrogen ready boilers and carbon capture demonstration – to get us on track to deliver on net zero by 2050.

A warning shot for industry

Two thirds of our members do not think the energy industry is doing enough either, and there’s a hint of trouble ahead for those who still have their head in the sand.

Boardrooms and management teams will all have to manage change over the coming decades – in terms of profitability, the supply of skilled workers and the supply chain. But it’s in the cast list of industry players where our members see things changing most dramatically. Almost half of our members expect gradual change, but a further third expect that change to be disruptive.

Incumbents are already facing challenge from dynamic new entrants, from innovative start-ups to big name brands from the ICT and automotive sector, and we can only expect that to intensify.

The oil and gas sector will have to undergo a significant transformation under a net zero scenario. By 2050, our survey expects oil and gas companies to have significantly pivoted from conventional fuels to low-carbon liquids and gases, as well as other low-carbon energy technologies and services.

There is a bold ambition to make the UKCS the world’s first net zero basin, and some individual companies are grasping the nettle so the UK can lead the way here too. But, the global oil and gas sector is currently spending less than 1% of its capital expenditure on low-carbon technologies so will need to accelerate its investment and quickly.

Leading by example

All of this matters for the UK’s economic recovering and delivering on our legally binding targets, but it also matters for Glasgow and COP26. Without immediate domestic policy steps from ministers, to quote the CCC’s Lord Deben, “the UK’s international credibility is on the line”.

Orchestrating the international ‘Race to Zero’ and the diplomacy required by it over the next year will call for every bit of credibility we can muster. Hence why leading by example is singled out by our members more than any other measure as the number one priority for maintaining the UK’s status as a climate leader.

The delay to COP26 bought breathing space but the moment is fast approaching when the UK will need to prove its moral authority.

The world has entrusted the UK with COP26. Only with ambitious clean energy action at home can we hope to inspire reciprocal action from countries around the world and avert the worst impacts of climate change.

The Energy Institute’s Energy Barometer 2020 can be found at www.energyinst.org/barometer/2020

This blog post was originally published by Energy Voice on 9 July 2020

COVID-19 highlights the relationship between reliable power systems and resilience

Trace, Simon_square

Simon Trace, Programme Director of the EEG Research Programme

Countries’ resilience to the COVID-19 pandemic may, in part, be dependent on whether their power supplies are adequate and reliable enough to provide critical services and support economies. It’s likely that important lessons can be learnt about the relationship between the pandemic and reliable power systems, which will be applicable to future energy planning in Sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia. Simon Trace, programme director of the Energy and Economic Growth (EEG) research programme, funded by the UK’s Department for International Development (DFID), explains more.

In Sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia, a lack of access to reliable electricity affects health and wellbeing, livelihoods and economic growth on a daily basis – but it may also severely compromise developing countries’ response and resilience to the COVID-19 pandemic, both in terms of survival rates and the economic impact.

Around 840 million people across the world live without any access to electricity, and hundreds of millions more have access but often suffer frequent – and sometimes lengthy – disruptions, whether from unplanned power outages, scheduled shutdowns or voltage fluctuations. Close to 600 million people in Sub-Saharan Africa do not have access to electricity, and fewer than half (43%) of Africans have a reliable supply. More than a quarter of the world’s off-grid population live in South Asia, and millions of connected families and businesses across the region experience frequent blackouts.

Healthcare facilities in these regions also lack reliable power. Past studies suggested that on average, one in four Sub-Saharan African health facilities had no access to electricity, and just 28% of health facilities and 34% of hospitals had ‘reliable’ access. Similarly, clinics and hospitals in Asia often lack access to reliable power. Around one billion people in the region can only access health facilities with unreliable electricity, or none at all. As an example, in India, 46% of health facilities serving an estimated 580 million people lack electricity, and many more have only an unreliable supply. A survey of rural public health centres in the eastern state of Chhattisgarh suggests that 90% of health clinics experience power cuts during operational hours.

Reliability and resilience

Populations’ dependence on reliable energy is likely to be thrown into sharp relief by COVID-19, with the pandemic further highlighting the relationship between adequately functioning power systems and resilience. It may offer further evidence that access to reliable electricity is fundamental to protecting health and wellbeing, and for supporting public services, key supply chains, people’s livelihoods and countries’ economies.

Hospitals and clinics need a constant supply of reliable electricity, especially now they are facing unprecedented stress. Without reliable electricity, the healthcare equipment that’s critical for protecting life, such as ventilators and vital function monitoring apparatus, cannot operate properly (and may be damaged). Laboratory tests, x-rays and scans cannot be carried out and healthcare staff must treat patients without basic requirements such as lighting and refrigeration. And, when a vaccine for COVID-19 is eventually developed, a lack of power for cold chain and refrigeration equipment could put it out of reach for many.

Reliable power is also required to support countries’ governance and security capabilities. It’s needed to maintain key supply chains and communication and IT services, so that parts of the economy that can remain active can continue to function while social distancing and stay-at-home measures are in place. It can enable people to work at home – where that is feasible – protecting businesses, jobs and economies to some degree.

Electricity also helps people to keep up to date with the latest COVID-19 information, advice and guidelines, stay connected with friends and family and educate their children while schools are closed (African countries have started to devote dedicated radio channels to remote learning).

With access to reliable electricity, people can power household refrigerators to store food supplies and adhere to lockdown measures more strictly, potentially reducing their exposure to the virus. As an example, it’s been suggested that in Nigeria, there are about 100 million people who would struggle to comply with restrictions on movement because a lack of electricity means they’re unable to store food in fridges and need to shop frequently.

The resilience of energy systems

COVID-19 is also likely to test the resilience of Sub-Saharan Africa’s and South Asia’s already disproportionally fragile and unstable energy systems, with a wide range of factors putting them under increased pressure.

For example, contractors working on the construction or extension of power lines may face depleted workforces due to quarantines, lockdowns, social distancing measures and travel restrictions. In facilities that are already operational, generators may be forced to shut down or reduce capacity for similar reasons.

Alongside this, power generators will be facing significant reductions in demand in affected areas, with the energy requirements of major users – such as manufacturing plants, factories and mines – reducing. In India, the lockdown has reduced power demand by 20-30%, particularly from high-paying industrial and commercial consumers. A report from the International Energy Agency projects that global energy demand is set to fall 6% in 2020 – seven times the decline after the 2008 global financial crisis. Systems need to be flexible enough to cope with rapid and significant changes in demand patterns, such as reductions in commercial demands and increases in domestic ones. In addition, the collapse in oil prices is taking a toll on the African energy industry.

Meanwhile, with lockdown restrictions affecting people’s ability to work and earn a living, it’s likely that customers will be struggling to pay for electricity – impacting on utilities’ cash flows and their ability to provide a reliable service and maintain and upgrade infrastructure. And the short-term relief measures put in place by some governments, such as subsidising electricity or extending bill payment deadlines, can threaten power suppliers’ financial viability, and their operations.

For example, in India state-owned electricity distribution companies have extended the due dates for payment of electricity bills and most have waived or deferred payment of fixed charges by industrial and residential consumers. Collections of electricity distribution companies across the country have reduced by an unprecedented 80%. This is barely enough to sustain staff salaries, while leaving no scope for payments to power plants – and it’s been suggested there is a serious risk of blackouts.

It is also thought that nascent companies providing off-grid solar services could face financial hardship or even insolvency. According to a survey by SEforALL, 80 businesses running mini-grids and selling solar home systems in Africa and Asia said they expected to lose on average 27%-40% of their revenues in the coming months due to COVID-19.

A call for research on COVID-19 and power systems

It is therefore likely that COVID-19 will reveal new issues to consider in future approaches to energy system planning, operation and maintenance – whether they relate to better understanding of the role reliable power plays in underpinning societies’ resilience to pandemics or the impact global health crises has on the resilience of power systems themselves.

EEG is currently commissioning applied research projects that aim to shed light on the relationship between COVID-19 and power systems in Sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia. We are inviting research proposals that explore the interdependencies between the resilience of populations and the resilience of power systems to large-scale health crises such as COVID-19, and that propose policy lessons for future energy system planning.

 

 

 

 

40 years on and the economics of solar power now make sense

Simon O'Leary

Simon O’Leary CEng FEI, Research Centre Director at Regent’s University London

EI Council Member Simon O’Leary CEng FEI looks back to his student days and reflects on the growing importance of renewable power for the EI and the global energy system.

Just over 40 years ago, the Institute of Fuel signalled the broadening landscape of the energy scene through its change of name to the Institute of Energy (and subsequently to the Energy Institute as we know it today). In 1980, its then student member Simon O’Leary presented his winning McAndrew Award essay on ‘The Sun and Solar Energy – Pie in the Sky?’ to a joint meeting of the Institute of Energy and the International Solar Energy Society (Energy World, 1980) as outlined in Figure 1.

SO image 1

Figure 1. McAndrew Award presentation in 1980

At that time, interest in solar energy was growing, but its use to produce electricity was expensive and limited to specialist applications, such as in remote locations or on spacecraft. Its use was so bespoke that it would not even appear on historical charts depicting the major global sources of electrical power. However, by the year 2000, it was beginning to register as illustrated in Figure 2.

SO image 2

Figure 2. Energy mix for global power supply to 2050 (McKinsey, 2019)

By 2020, the science, engineering, technology and infrastructure for producing solar power has developed to such an extent that the relative price of photovoltaics has fallen dramatically (Belton, 2020; Ozalp, Sattler, Klausner and Miller, 2015) while, at the same time, the demand for such renewable non-carbon sources has become ever more apparent because of climate change. The net result is that the economics of solar energy to produce electrical power globally is now making sense, just as it does for wind power. Solar and wind power are projected to become the major players in the takeover of global power production by renewables by 2035 as noted in Figure 2.

It’s no surprise then to see an increasing focus on renewables in today’s Energy Institute, now the home of health and safety in onshore and offshore wind as much as it has been for decades for conventional fuels, and with its two new conferences Renewables Health, Safety and Sustainability and Powering Net Zero set to shine a light on solar and other clean energy sources this autumn.

A further clear signal for this was given at the Energy Institute’s international conference, IP Week 2020, and its focus on a low carbon future (IP Week, 2020) with presentations by leaders and commentators from inside and outside energy sectors. Along with many other prominent contributors, this included keynote speeches by the Energy Institute President, Steve Holliday, and the Group Chief Executive of BP, Bernard Looney. Like the Institute itself expanding its energy base all those years ago, oil and gas majors may now be well positioned to extend their expertise across the energy field more broadly (Accenture, 2020).

Figure 3. IP Week 2020 review

Over the last 40 years, there has been a ‘C of change’ worldwide; consider the changes in Computing, China, Communications, Climate and now Covid-19 to name just cinque. So, in 2020, and while it has taken the author four decades to answer the question, it is clear that solar energy as a widespread source of electrical power is no longer something that could happen but is unlikely; it is no longer pie in the sky!

References

Accenture (2020). From Oil Producers to Power Players: A Smart Move?

Belton, P. (2020). A breakthrough approaches for solar power. BBC News: Business; May 1.

Energy Institute (2020). Energy insight: A very brief history of the Energy Institute.

Energy World (1980). Institute of Energy March meetings. February: Number 67; page 1.

IP Week (2020). A review of IP Week 2020. Energy Institute.

McKinsey (2019). Global Energy Perspective 2019: Reference Case; Summary.

Ozalp, N. Sattler, C., Klausner, J. and Miller, J. (2015). Fossil Fuels have a Number of Industrial Uses Beyond Energy Generation: Is it Possible for Solar Power to Replace them All? Mechanical Engineering, Vol.137, No.1, pp.46-51.

Profile: Professor Simon O’Leary is a Research Centre Director at Regent’s University London, following over two decades in industry, including international roles in the scientific and commercial arms of oil, gas and petrochemicals in the UK and Norway. He is a Fellow and Council Member of the Energy Institute. Email: olearys@regents.ac.uk

From siloes to collaboration for the benefit of humanity

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Poppy Kalesi, Director of Global Energy at the Environmental Defense Fund

Poppy Kalesi, Director of Global Energy at the Environmental Defense Fund and IP Week 2020 speaker, delves into the cultural changes to the way we work that will be needed to successfully decarbonise the global economy.

As energy demand steadily rises, and with it greenhouse gas emissions, decarbonising the world’s energy system has become one of the most promising opportunities we have today to ensure humanity’s survival within the natural limits of the planet.

It is also proving one of the toughest nuts to crack. For decades, governments and industry have been trying to solve the issue as if it were a one-dimensional, linear challenge; a question of engineering, or of overcoming market or regulatory barriers.

While some of these efforts have borne fruit in both North America and Europe, they are far from delivering the potential emission reductions at the scale and speed required to respond to what is a dynamic and vitally urgent problem.

Why is this?

Understanding the insufficiency of industry’s climate response to this point is very much a question of mindset. The energy industry is one which operates in high-risk environments – physical, market and regulatory. Navigating this complex risk picture has promoted a low-risk culture; working with likeminded people, from the same sector, discipline, culture, and even gender has become the norm.

This mindset supported the industry well when socioeconomic and physical developments were linear and predictable. But this is no longer where we are.

The non-linearity of the climate emergency has demonstrated the shortcomings of linear, siloed approaches and is demanding that we do everything in parallel through global networks. This has transformed learning from being an incremental, solitary affair to participating in large, collaborative networks, sharing knowledge and learning together to navigate an uncertain and ambiguous future.

Collaborating from a place of humility

But let’s be honest. Collaboration remains hard. Collaborating across disciplines and sectors is not immediately obvious when our action is driven by different motives and contexts. It is even harder when we’re used to being the big fish in our own small pond.

As ponds connect to form lakes, we all find ourselves somewhere new, like a new country. As an immigrant myself – I have done this three times now – I want to share an attitude which has supported me well: learning from a place of humility.

After the frustrating first years of being somewhere new, where you neither speak the language nor fully understand the new culture or ways of doing things, it gets easier when you master it. But to do so one has to be open and accepting of learning a new way of doing things, with no judgement.

Despite our different contexts and backgrounds, we all agreed to “emigrate to Paris by 2030”, a land where global temperature rise will be contained to below 1.5 degrees Celsius. This first learning phase showed that we’re not all ready to integrate in our new land. We keep designing markets to deliver lots of cheap goods, make money out of producing things that are not good for the environment and we keep consuming things that are not good for our children or us.

 Benefiting humanity

Decarbonising the energy system will require a “both ..and” approach to diverse types of knowledge and perspectives, not an “either…or”. Civil society organisations and industry do not always share the same views of the world or global priorities for the energy transition. Since both are falling short of developing the solutions we need for the transition, maybe it is time to start having more of those hard discussions with each other in a spirit of appreciation for the added opportunities to find novel, promising solutions that will turbocharge the rate of decarbonisation.

Another area with a lot of untapped potential is womens’ participation in energy. Women still account for only 22% of the energy sector workforce. My bet is that 2030 will be the year when we will see how female participation in energy drove decarbonisation. For digitalisation and AI to deliver for humanity and energy systems to deliver for climate, the development process will need to benefit from diverse inputs, knowledge, and perspectives.

 

Why I am clapping for our wind workforce

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Beate Hildenbrand, Manager of Offshore and Onshore Wind at the Energy Institute

Beate Hildenbrand, Manager of Offshore and Onshore Wind at the Energy Institute, applauds the crucial role the energy sector workforce is playing during the global pandemic.

Working from home has become the new normal for many of us, at least for the time being as we seek to limit the spread of COVID-19. At the same time, rightly, we all recognise the tremendous efforts of our health and social care professionals who continue to go to work and put themselves in harm’s way.

But there are others we should remember too. After all, how would I be able to type this on my laptop now or make the cup of coffee I’m drinking if it weren’t for the reliable supply of electricity we enjoy.

Amidst the all-consuming media attention on coronavirus so far this year, you can be forgiven for not noticing something quite remarkable achieved in the UK’s electricity mix: renewables overtook fossil fuels for the first time.

Wind, solar, biomass and hydropower sources provided almost 45% of power, overtaking gas as the UK’s primary fuel source for the first quarter of 2020. Strong winds, alongside demand reduction caused by coronavirus, contributed to this record share of electricity generation.

Mirroring the rise in renewables across Europe, where renewable power sources overtook the output from fossil fuels for the first-time last year, it’s the latest milestone for renewable energy which now provides more than a third of global power capacity.

These, however, are not the only remarkable achievements for the wind sector of late.

As governments and citizens grapple with the devasting impact of COVID-19, workers in this sector – identified as critical workers – have quietly continued their essential work to wind turbine generators and associated infrastructure.

In my role supporting the work of G+ and SafetyOn, the health and safety organisations for the offshore and onshore wind sectors based here at the Energy Institute, I’m familiar with this resilience – it’s a workforce that routinely deals with some of the most hazardous weather conditions, working at height and with heavy loads.

The pandemic adds a further layer of concern, which is why we’ve worked fast to convene the sector, regulators and trade organisations to put in place new guidance.

SafetyOn has produced guidance regarding site operations and construction, helping the workforce to carry out operations activities and construction in a safe manner during the pandemic.

Produced in conjunction with RenewableUK and with the alignment of the Health and Safety Executive, it covers hygiene, social distancing and travel, as well as more operational considerations including turbine and substation maintenance, training, medicals and specific guidance for construction.

For the offshore wind sector, G+ continues to play an important role in sharing health and safety good practice guidance. We have just made a coronavirus safety lesson available on the EI’s Toolbox app.

The case study involves an incident in which workers on a small vessel were in close proximity to a crewmember displaying COVID-19 symptoms, and highlights the lessons learned by the vessel operator and crew.

These collaborations show this sector at its best – putting aside competitive rivalries to advance their shared interest in raising the bar to better protect the workforce, assets and the environment.

So while our health workers are – rightly – being applauded as the heroes they are, I urge you to also spare a thought for our industry’s critical workers – men and women across the energy sector who are working day after day to keep the electrons flowing and our lights on.

 

How a bow tie can help fight COVID-19

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Mark Scanlon, Head of Health and Safety at the Energy Institute

Mark Scanlon, Head of Health and Safety at the Energy Institute, explains why a risk management methodology more commonly applied on oil and gas platforms can help make sense of the global pandemic and the efforts to stop it.

As I write, more than 30,000 people have now died from the new coronavirus disease. Well over 600,000 are believed to have been infected. The speed of its spread, to more than 170 countries in less than three months, has been astonishing.

Each individual death is a tragedy, but the pandemic is still unfolding and it seems likely to get worse before it gets better, at least in certain parts of the world.

Fortunately, the disease has its weaknesses, and governments around the world are taking unprecedented steps to exploit those to try to protect citizens from further harm.

It’s hard to overstate the importance of us all following the advice to the letter and observing the restrictions that have been put in place.

Rarely has personal responsibility been so important to collective wellbeing. As we hear repeatedly from ministers and senior health officials, we need to beat this together. Only by heeding the advice to stay at home, to wash our hands and to self-isolate, can we help to save our own lives and the lives of those around us.

But what exactly does each of these measures aim to achieve, and how do they work in concert?

Many people respond even better to advice when they understand precisely why it’s being given. That’s something we know from our work in process safety and human factors in the energy sector, whether it’s in hazardous environments offshore, handling chemicals or working at height or with heavy loads.

And a highly effective methodology used to manage risks in those environments is ‘bow tie’, so-called because it uses a diagram that resembles, well, a bow tie!

Knowledge and experience of its application have been consolidated by experts at the Energy Institute and our partner organisation the Center for Chemical Process Safety and published in September 2018 as a technical resource for the industry.

Bow tie is a visual aid that identifies threats (represented as the left-hand bow of the tie) that could potentially cause a hazard (the knot) and, further, the consequences (the right-hand bow) that could result. In between are barriers aimed at avoiding the hazard becoming a reality, or mitigating its consequences. However, the strength of these barriers can be reinforced or undermined by degradation factors.

This might all strike you as rather obvious, but I like the bow tie methodology for its simplicity, and we know it helps save lives on oil platforms, at petroleum refineries and on offshore wind farms.

COVID-19 differs from conventional workplace hazards that are represented in bow ties, like the processing of hydrocarbons containing hydrogen sulfide or working at height, but applying the same approach is incredibly powerful.

Take a look at the EI/CCPS Bow Tie for COVID-19 (9 April revision), which unpacks precisely how we are all working together to break the chain of causality between exposure, infection and death. What becomes clear is that there are only a few real barriers on the left- and right-hand sides of the bow tie. We must each play our part in applying them as stringently as possible.